Original PromptI need a one page table topper with the following: 🔵 Blue = Access 🟠 Orange = Reasoning 🔴 Red = Higher‑Order Thinking
Warm‑Up: Spinner Problem
🔵 “The expected probability is ___ because the spinner has ___ equal parts.”
🔵 “Out of 50 spins, I would expect about ___.”
🟠 “The actual data shows ___ out of 50, which is more/less than expected.”
🔴 “This difference is (small/large), so I think the spinner might/might not be biased because…”
Activity 1: Expected vs. Actual
🔵 “If the model is f...
This resource focuses on evaluating model fairness through a practical application where students compare theoretical probabilities with experimental data. The activity is structured into warm-up exercises using the 'Spinner Problem,' where students estimate expected outcomes based on equal parts of the spinner. It guides students through reasoning about expected versus actual data to identify biases in models. The second part of the activity involves simulation analysis, prompting students to report and analyze their class data against their simulations. Through higher-order reasoning questions, students explore the implications of their findings and whether observed differences are significant enough to indicate bias in the model.